Here’s what Meteorologist Kevin Arnone has to say about the weather.
As this storm system approaches closer to New England my confidence is growing that it’s mostly going out to sea and just grazing us.
As this system moves NE off the shore of the Carolinas and towards the 40/70 benchmark but just east of it, it is forecasted to intensify rapidly and turn into a major Nor’ Easter with a low pressure of 966 MB. That’s CAT 1 Hurricane status, meaning the pressure gradient will be intense and winds may exceed 65 MPH plus near the storm center.
I am confident enough we won’t be seeing anything of that nature here in CT, but the East coast of Mass and parts of RI will likely experience some wild weather on Wednesday. Lets just say we are missing a pretty significant blizzard.
To quickly talk about the models, the runs have been pretty consistent of late keeping this baby too far off the shore to bring significant snow for CT, best chance for accumulating snow will be Eastern CT where 1-3 inches isn’t out of the realm of possibilities with the likelihood of banding to take place with such a rapidly intensifying storm. Western CT will see next to nothing, coating to maybe an inch.
Start time for the storm, flurries will develop later in the evening on Tuesday after 6-8 PM and will on/off flurries and light snow will continue throughout the overnight hours until early Wednesday morning.
I want everyone to understand that I am pretty confident in this forecast, but with a storm like this one, if the storm center shifts just 25 miles either way west or east it could make for a big difference. So please check back here as if anything changes you will hear it first from me! Thanks for reading.