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Mar 232014
 
Meteorologist Kevin Arnone

Meteorologist Kevin Arnone

If you are sick of the snow you may like Meteorologist Kevin Arnone‘s latest update:

I am sure a lot of you have heard the talk with a potential storm for mid-week next week. So far the 12Z NAM, GFS and GEM have shifted this storm east, showing barely snow for CT. The 00Z Euro from last night still had moderate accumulations. 
Waiting for the latest 12Z Euro to come out which will be in a few hours to confirm but it seems to me that this trend will be taking this snowstorm out to sea. We may luck out.

I will have more details later today but if you hate snow then consider yourself lucky!

Mar 222014
 

Snowfall059Meteorologist Kevin Arnone posted this forecast late last night:

We will have a mild day on Saturday in which we can reach mid 50′s and maybe even 60 if we have more sun than clouds. However a chance for an afternoon shower after 2 PM.

Temps will drop for Sunday as we will only be in the lower 40′s and once again drop for Monday as we return to the mid 30′s.

Now all focus is on Tuesday and Wednesday as the models have been hinting at a storm for the past few days now. I must say the last 3 times the models have hinted at something far out, they have all went out to sea, but this time the EURO, GEM and GFS are all pretty consistent with one another.

Still 5 days out, but something that I will be watching over the weekend. Storm impact would be later in the day on Tuesday into Wednesday morning and yes it will be snow. However this time of the year it’s hard for snow to stick to the surface due to sun angle but the impacts of this storm are at night, so that won’t be a problem.

Below are the 3 models which show this storm. Left shows the EURO, right shows the GEM and bottom is the GFS. All three are consistent with placement and timing. Usually this doesn’t happen 5 days out. GEM has this storm bombing out with a pressure of 961 MB. That’s CAT 1 Hurricane Status.

 

Feb 172014
 

More Snow News from our Meteorologist Kevin Arnone.

Well here we are again forecasting yet another snowstorm.

I believe this is number 15 for the year! But hey who’s counting?

I’ll skip all the fluff and get right down to business.

Snow will begin early Tuesday morning 5 – 8 a.m. SW CT will see it first and then it will fill in for the rest of the state.

Heaviest of the snow will be 11 a.m. – 2 p.m. and it’s all out of here by 4 – 5 p.m. ending as light flurries.

Most of the state will see 2 – 4 Inches.

Extreme SE CT will be little less due to the issue of mixing, I’m going 1-2 for you guys, and parts of NW and NE CT I’m bumping you up to 3-6 inches.

Map is below!

Feb 122014
 

Brace yourselves, here’s the latest from our Meteorologist Kevin Arnone.

Lets get right down to business and skip all theweather model talk.

Snow will begin 2-4 a.m. Thursday morning.   Flurries possible as early as midnight. By the time most of us wake up 7-9 a.m. expect 2-4 inches on the ground.

As the storm center approaches closer during the afternoon on Thursday warmer air will come with it.

The SE corner of the State and possibly parts of the immediate shoreline will turn over to a mix; this is because the winds will be coming off the Atlantic Ocean and warm up the surface.

The exact timing of this is still up in the air but a rough estimate will be between 12-5 p.m. By the time the switch over occurs most of the state will have 3-6 inches on the ground exception being SE CT, 2-4 for you guys.

The rain/snow line will try and push NW during the afternoon, but (AS OF NOW) I believe the cold air will win out for the rest of the state and stay as an all snow event.

I am expecting a break in the action from 5-8 p.m., very light precip or nothing at all in some locations.  Even though some of us may switch over to a mix briefly, a second burst of snow 8-10 p.m. we are all back to snow again for the remainder of the storm.

An additional 3-6 inches will fall in this second burst for inland areas.  Shore and SE CT will be towards the lower end of that!

Snow will continue through the night and end 4-7 a.m. Friday morning.

The chance of flurries and blowing snow will continue through Friday morning.  I expect schools to be closed both Thursday and Friday!

I also want to point out that this is a prettypowerful storm; winds gusts will be between 35-45 MPH.  Also add on the fact that the snow will be very heavy.  It could be a recipe for many power outages.

Feb 022014
 
Keep Your Ice Scrapers Handy

Keep Your Ice Scrapers Handy

Our meteorologist Kevin Arnone says we can be expecting some bad weather this week.

In his latest update he says:

Event 1 – Monday

I have been watching two separate storm systems.  One of which will occur on Monday and a bigger more intense one for Wednesday. 

As far as the Monday system is concerned.  This will be a lighter even focusing mostly on the shore.  Not a big storm by any means but due to the timing it will cause many head aches. 

Flurries may begin as early as 10 am but the steadier snow will not fall until 12-2 PM.  However it will be a very quick storm as it is all out of here by 5-7 PM. 

Mostly a coastal event, 1-3 inches at the most will be my first call for towns south of I-84. 

Anything north of that line, coating to an inch. 

Event 2 – Wednesday

As far as Wednesday is concerned, still have a few model runs to see before I can confidently tell you how much snow we will receive.  We will receive something, but the issue with this system is which track it will take, (or which model it agrees with).

This system will have a great deal of ice involved, which will lower snow totals.  Determining when the switch over to snow to ice occurs is key in making an accurate forecast.

As far as timing is concerned with the precipitation, start time Late Tuesday Night, heaviest during Wednesday afternoon and ending late Wednesday night.

Jan 262014
 
weatheer prediction

this is Kevin Arnone’s map which contradicts some of WFSBs forecast – time will tell which is closer.

Mother Nature is not ready to allow winter to pass by us yet, according to WFSB-3′s Weather Team.

Tomorrow morning (Monday, Jan. 27) there is a chance for snow showers that could re-develop in the afternoon. Along the shoreline rain may mix with the snow, windy. High around 40 on the shore and 35 inland — that’s warm compared to what we’ve had and what the remainder of the week will bring!

Tuesday will bring sunshine, but it will be breezy and colder with high only around 20 and the low at 8 expected.

Bundle up on Wednesday. The low will be about 2 and it may not get much warmer than 22 around here.

Thursday will be mostly sunny and just a bit warmer but still below freezing at 29 and the low is expected to be 5.

Friday may bring a few scattered snow flurries and a warm-up, well 1 degree above freezing with a high of 33 and the low at 12.

 

 

Jan 022014
 

Snowfall059The latest from Meteorologist Kevin Arnone

After analyzing data from today, I am very confident in a forecast for the next few days.

Expect snow to begin after midnight tonight (Wednesday night) and continuing throughout the night and much of the morning.  This will be a very light snow falling at a light pace.  By early afternoon tomorrow only expect 1-2 inches.

There will be breaks in the action during the day tomorrow where the sun may even peek out for a few minutes.

As the storm moves off shore it will develop into a much more powerful organized storm.  This will occur late Thursday night.  A much steadier snow will fall sometime after 10 PM Thursday Night depending upon the exact track of the storm.  Winds will pick up; gusts of 40+ mph are very possible.

Snow will continue through the overnight hours on Thursday night and come to an end early Friday Morning.

When it is all said and done 5-10 Inches throughout the state of CT with some spots of 10+.

It will be very tough to get an accurate snow measure Friday Morning because of snow drifts!

One thing I am worried about is the wind chill values.

Thursday night wind chills throughout the state will be well below 0 degrees.

If you are outside make sure you wear layers.

Dec 122013
 

Screen shot 2013-12-12 at 3.02.26 AM

A note from Meteorologist Kevin Arnone:

I’m sure a lot of you have been hearing about the potential blockbuster winter storm this weekend.  Unfortunately for you snow lovers it doesn’t seem to be a major storm at this point, but we still have 3 days and many model runs in between for that to change.

As of right now (11 PM Wednesday) both the EURO and the GFS computer models have the storm approaching CT Saturday afternoon as snow then moving off shore and developing just too late to drop significant snow on us.

Both models seem to agree about warmer air pushing in early Sunday morning, which would more than likely change the precipitation type to a mix or even rain on the shore and then the storm is out of here late Sunday afternoon.

However all this being said, I’m sure you want to hear snow totals. It is still really early to be confident enough in making a forecast especially with this type of storm set up.

I am confident with the timing but as of right now (very well could change and more than likely will) it looks to be a 2-4 or a 3-6 type of storm (Inches).  The way the models have been trending (COLDER WITH LESS PRECIP) I would put my money on a 2-4 scenario.

I will be looking at more data tomorrow (Thursday) and hopefully the models don’t flip flop or play any games and I will have a more set in stone forecast for you.

Oct 222013
 

Screen shot 2013-10-22 at 11.21.06 PMOn Lincoln Road, It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas, and now it’s beginning to FEEL a lot like Christmas too.

Our meteorologist Kevin Arnone says temps will be in the 30s and 50s in the next couple of days.

Here’s his forecast:

Tuesday Night: Low 35-42. Few Clouds. NW 5-10 mph

Wednesday: High 53-55. P. Sunny. N 10-15 mph

Wednesday Night: Low 33-37. Showers. NW 10-15 mph

Thursday: High 54. P. Sunny. NW 10-20 mph

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