Quantcast
Mar 092014
 

Here’s Kevin Arnone’s forecast for this week.

A northwest wind will keep our temps cold for the day on Monday.

Quick round of snow showers is likely during the overnight hours on Sunday and into the morning commute on Monday. No model has over 1/2 inch of snow for accumulation, so I would say a slippery commute is possible Monday morning with a coating of accumulation.

Day time highs are around the mid 40′s this time of the year and we will surpass that on Tuesday as we will be flirting with 50 degrees! Also you will be enjoying a sunset  at 7 p.m. by March 16th.

Both the GFS and EURO and Canada computer models are hinting at possible snowstorm for Wednesday into Thursday. It is still a few days away but models have been keeping this Low Pressure system around the same area past few days.

The top left picture is the EURO, top right is the GFS and bottom is the Canada.Green/blue shows QPF (amount of precipitation for 6 hour period).

Black lines are isobars which are lines of pressure.

The lines with a space in them are temp values, Light blue below 32, Blue is 32 and red is above 32.

There is no lock in this forecast just yet, a lot will change over the next few days. The forecast will completely depend on storm track and where the storm center goes over.

If the storm center moves directly over CT, it will start as rain then as colder air moves in during the back end of the storm it will end as snow.

If the storm center moves way inland, it will be all rain.

If the storm center pushes out to sea just a bit, it will be a mostly snow event.

I don’t see any indications of this being a blockbuster snowstorm, but if this systems track moves out to sea just enough, 6+ inches isn’t out of the questions for inland CT. Right now the models have different solutions, I hope by Monday night  I will have a better understanding.

weather forecast

Feb 262014
 
Meteorologist Kevin Arnone

Meteorologist Kevin Arnone

Here’s the forecast from our favorite Meteorologist Kevin Arnone:

Are you enjoying the cold yet?

Well winter is going to show its power for the next week, as temps will not be above the mid 30’s on my 5 day forecast.

As far as the snow concerns this week, the storm on Wednesday is too far out to sea to impact us significantly but close enough to give some CT Towns especially in the SE corner a brief period of flurries and snow showers.  I am not expecting any accumulation other than maybe a coating to a ½ inch at the most.

Thursday there will be some mid day flurries as well, not expecting any accumulation.

Friday will be just darn cold!

Saturday will be cloudy and Sunday is the next storm talk.  As of now the models are hinting at a system moving in late Sunday evening into Monday day. Right now looks to be all snow inland and just a mess of wintry mix and brief snow showers on the shore.

No need to talk totals now as it is so far away but just keep it here and on my Meteorologist Kevin Arnone page.

five day forecast FEb 26-Mar 3

PS Sunday is March 2 NOT the 27th

 


Dec 312013
 

Screen shot 2013-12-31 at 7.39.36 PMSnow in the forecast for Thursday into Friday.

All the models are agreeing on a coastal low moving towards the NE Thursday afternoon which may produce significant snow for our state.

The exact totals still are not set in stone.

But from the data the past 24 hours, models have been spitting out anywhere from 4-12+ inches.

I will have a more set in stone forecast Tuesday Night!

Stay tuned for the update from meteorologist Kevin Arnone on ctforecast4u.com

Dec 292013
 
We will sorely miss Doc Whitney at this year's race.

We will sorely miss Doc Whitney at this year’s race.

The annual Chilly Chili Run 5k road race will take place on Wednesday, Jan. 1.

Over the past few years, we’ve seen balmy to freezing temperatures, sunshine and drizzle, but this year it is truly going to be a Chilly Run.

Here is this week’s weather forecast for Orange from the National Weather Service. Prepare to bundle up, we’re looking at freezing to below freezing temperatures.

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. West wind 6 to 15 mph.

  • Monday Mostly sunny, with a temperature falling to around 28 by 5pm. Northwest wind 7 to 16 mph.
  • Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 16. Northwest wind 6 to 9 mph.
  • Tuesday Partly sunny, with a high near 32. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning.
  • Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 20. West wind 5 to 8 mph.
  • New Year’s Day Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32.
  • Wednesday Night A chance of snow after 1am.  Cloudy, with a low around 18. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
  • Thursday A chance of snow.  Cloudy, with a high near 21. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
  • Thursday Night A chance of snow.  Cloudy, with a low around 17. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
  • Friday A chance of snow.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 19. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
  • Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 4.
  • Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 27.
  • Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18.
  • Sunday Partly sunny, with a high near 40.
Dec 232013
 

snowflake1

MY APOLOGIES FOR THIS POST. I WENT TO KEVIN’S SITE AT 11 P.M. ON MONDAY AND SAW AN UPDATE, NOT REALIZING THAT IT WAS FROM LAST WEEK.

I hope it didn’t mess up anyone’s day. We all make mistakes, right?

 

Our Meteorologist Kevin Arnone gives us this new forecast – at 11 p.m.

Clipper system moving down from Canada will bring some snow rather quickly during the day on Tuesday for CT residents.

Pretty straight forward forecast as the models are in pretty good agreement with timing and snowfall amounts.

Expect snow to begin around 7-9 AM Tuesday morning with the heaviest accumulation coming around noon. The whole entire system should be out of the area by 2-4 PM Tuesday afternoon. 2-5 inches statewide is what I am going with for totals.

If you live east of I-91 expect your totals to be on the higher side of the 2-5 inches.

NW CT I expect to see the lowest of the totals.

Temps will be well below freezing during the afternoon so this will be a fluffy snow!

Dec 062013
 

Screen shot 2013-12-05 at 11.04.09 PMWill nasty weather ruin the Orange Holiday Festival on Sunday? No one really knows for sure, THAT’S in the hands of Mother Nature, but the 7-day forecast from WFSB 3 may make you question how pleasant it will be.

This is what their chief meteorologist Bruce Deprest has to say:

Fri., Dec. 6: expect clouds and some rain highs around 50, but getting colder in the afternoon.

Sat., Dec. 7: SNOW and sleet in the early morning with spotty coating, then mostly sunny and breezy high around 42.

Sun., Dec. 8: Increasing clouds with snow and sleet during evening. High around 37.  

Mon., Dec. 9: Icy combination of freezing rain and sleet in the morning changing to rain in the afternoon. High around 46.

Tues., Dec. 10: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers, chilly and breezy. High around 42.

Wed., Dec. 11: Partly sunny, windy and colder. High around 36.

Thurs., Dec. 12: Partly to mostly sunny and cold. High around 35.

Nov 122013
 

snowflake1According to WTNH 8 we will be expecting our first bit of wintry weather Tuesday.

In Brief: The first snowflakes are expected to fall between 1-4 a.m. leaving slick slushy spots for the morning commute. The precipitation should be done by noon.

A line of rain and snow is headed in our direction  (see map below) with a cold front, followed by temperatures in the 30s.

Morning Commute: Expect rain, snow and near freezing temperatures for your morning commute, messy and really slippery between 5 and 10 a.m.

Temperatures are expected to fall during the day.

Impact on Schools: if the roads are dangerous, you may expect delayed school openings.

 

snow map

 

Mar 242013
 

 

The front where it is expected to be at 2:20 p.m. Monday

The front where it is expected to be at 2:20 p.m. Monday

Meteorologist Kevin Arnone updated his forecast tonight at 7 p.m.:

The next storm potential is for a bit of snow possible on Monday Afternoon into Tuesday Morning.  

As of right now the 18Z GFS, 18Z NAM, 12Z GEM and 12Z EURO are all hits for CT for snow on Monday.  The GEM and GFS have the most perceptible water where as the NAM and EURO have a tad bit less.

As far as snow totals are concerned this is going to be mostly a coastal event, upwards to two inches is possible. 

The models are still very inconsistent with amounts, very tough call for Monday.  Start time will be Monday afternoon, morning commute will be fine, but the PM commute will be a tough one!  

I will try and throw together a snowfall map after the 00Z models come out!

Sunday Night: Low 30-33. Clouds. E 5-10 mph

Monday:
 High 40-41. Snow (70%). NE 5-15 mph

Monday Night: Low 29-30. Snow (50%). NW 5-15 mph

Tuesday: High 47-48. P. Sunny. NW 5-15 mph

Tuesday Night: Low 28-33. Few Clouds. NW 5-15 mph

Wednesday: High 49-50. M. Sunny. NW 5-15 mph

Mar 242013
 

stellar-plateMeteorologist Kevin Arnone is watching another weather front coming our way. Here’s his latest report (mostly in geek speak).

The next storm potential is for a bit of snow possible on Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning.  

As of 6 p.m. Saturday, 18Z GFS, 12Z GEM and hits for CT snow on Monday. The latest 18Z NAM is out to sea (Not the most reliable model) and the 12Z EURO is now out to sea.  Will be interesting to see what the 00Z runs bring. Still something to watch!. 

The GEM and GFS have the most perceptible water where as the NAM and EURO have nothing, too early to talk about snow totals. Something to watch over the next 24 hours to see how this storm sets up.

Yuck, snow on Monday? NICE on Wednesday

Yuck, snow on Monday? NICE on Wednesday

Mar 192013
 
The snow covering my car around midnight was all but gone after a bit of steady rain.

The snow covering my car around midnight was all but gone after a bit of steady rain.

Today is the last day of winter and yep, don’t you know, we had fresh snow on the ground early this morning.

In the past 56 years I’ve seen quite a few snowy winters, the worst, aside from this year were in the 7os and 80s.

As a child I looked forward to heavy snowfall. I lived in a wonderful neighborhood where every home had at least two kids and everyone knew everybody else. After school or if we were lucky enough not to have school, all 20 of us would gather at the top of the hill with our sleds (thumbs up to radio flyer) and race down the road, through the intersection and see how far we could get on the lower half of our street.

My dog Boots would run after me and my brothers and stayed with us as long as we were out there playing.

Our snow forts and snowball fights were legendary – we’d wail those things across the street to one barricade and across the driveway to the other fort until we all were worn out or too cold.

Every once in a while we’d go inside our respective homes, drink some hot cocoa and warm up, then go outside again until it was time for dinner.

Our parents were cool, they didn’t mind that the street wasn’t plowed as long as all of us kids could get out, get some exercise and have fun.

That was then, this is now.

Now adays, you really don’t see a lot of kids playing outside from sunrise to sunset.

If a street isn’t plowed, adults are on the phone with the police, town hall or highway department in a heartbeat to complain.

Winter just isn’t as much fun as it was when I was young.

Tomorrow, especially after this winter, I will welcome the Vernal Equinox with open arms.

Enjoy your last day of winter and then move on – Spring is right around the corner.

Directory powered by Business Directory Plugin