A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect until 10 p.m. this evening.
Anticipate damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and higher. Secure any loose objects that could become missiles.
In addition, there is potential for localized to scattered areas of flash flooding Thursday afternoon into evening ahead of and along a slow moving cold front.
Meteorologist Kevin Arnone loves forecasting weather just about as much as he loves going on vacation.
Even as he packs his bags, he still took time to file this report so we would be ready for what’s to come. Here’s what he has to say:
This will be my last update for the storm as well as for the week. I am on vacation until the 16th of March and will not be able to update my website. I am going on a cruise and I am lucky enough to leave out of New York in which I will be experiencing some monster waves from this nor’easter. I am forecasting 20-30 ft waves!!!! I will try and take pictures for the website. Would you believe that I missed the Blizzard because I was in Vegas and now I’m missing this storm 🙁
After this storm passes which will be during the day on Friday the next shot of rain will be on Monday/Tuesday on next week. The 11th and 12th. Hopefully it doesn’t change LOL!
OK now on the nor’easter. Rain/Snow showers will start as early as noon. However I don’t expect to see anything steady falling in CT until after 5 PM in which it will start snowing for the entire state of CT. Snow will continue throughout the overnight hours as well as the wind will pick up a lot, check below to see how fast the wind will roar in your town.
Two high tide cycles during this storm may lead to moderate flooding on the coasts, check below to see if you live in those towns. Expect power outages and tree damage. Under my advertisements tab you can check out two landscaping companies that will plow your driveway or business as well as tend to any storm damage you may have. Let them know you saw their ad on CTForecast. The strongest winds and heaviest snow will occur during the overnight hours on Wednesday!
As far as during the day on Thursday is concerned, winds will still be strong but the precipitation will be very light and little to no accumulation will be added on. Mostly light snow inland and a mix/rain on the shore. The AM commute will be very slippery, please leave yourself extra time in the morning. Most of the snow accumulation will fall Wednesday Night. Lingering snow/rain showers will continue until early Friday morning, but no accumulation is expected.
Please everyone be safe, and I will be back on March 16th to continue forecasting the weather!
Check out the weather maps below for a better understanding of what Kevin is expecting for us.
Hurricane Storm Sandy Update: Oct. 25 @ 8pm
Category 2 Storm moving NNW over Bahamas at 17 mph over warm water. Current sustained winds at 100 mph and gusts of 125 mph and pressure at 965 mb.
Some Weather Model Talk:
The European Computer model or “ECMWF” which has been the most consistent over the past few days concerning Sandy now has the strong storm first making landfall south of NJ. But by no means are we out of the loop. The GFS Computer model, which has been all over the place concerning Sandy, now is beginning to shape up. Earlier in the week the GFS had Sandy way out to see but the latest 18z run brings the center of the storm south of the NYC area.
Sandy is a well-organized, big and strong CAT 2 storm right now and is expected to weaken to a CAT 1 Friday morning but still will pack a punch. Getting caught up in the category of a hurricane is sometimes a waste of time in my eyes because there are so many other factors that go in to the actual strength of the storm other then wind. Example being size and how fast it’s moving. For what it’s worth I also have been studying the NOGAPS Model which is the United States Navy Model. This one is along the same lines as the GFS Model.
The NHC as of 8pm on Thursday is forecasting the track of Sandy to make landfall between NYC and Central New Jersey, which may still lead to a very ugly situation for CT residents.
What am I concerned about and what should you do???
Sandy is a very strong storm and a rare one. If these forecasts hold true, Sandy will be making landfall moving in a North Western direction. Bringing ESE winds that will raise the storm surge in Long Island significantly. Problem with Long Island Sound is that the water has nowhere to go so it will cause coastal flooding.
Monday night is expected to be the worst of the weather. Monday night also is a full moon which will naturally cause the tides to be higher, 7 feet higher to be exact. If this forecast stands true we could be talking major flooding which will be much worse then what we saw last year during Irene. However I do not want anyone to panic,
I just want you to be aware and to pay attention to future updates concerning Sandy as a more “Set in stone” forecast will likely evolve over the next 24-36 hours. Also it doesn’t hurt to begin preparation for a situation where you may lose power for a few days.
I will be constantly updated my website (available by clicking on the weather tab on Orangectlive.com) as new data comes in but as always you can follow me on twitter and like me on Facebook as I have been posting up to the minute Sandy Facts.
If you have any questions feel free to email me @ MeteorologistKevin.Arnone@gmail.com